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JACIII Vol.29 No.3 pp. 668-676
doi: 10.20965/jaciii.2025.p0668
(2025)

Research Paper:

Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Tools Based on Monitoring Data and Stochastic Degradation Model

Baokang Zhang* ORCID Icon, Ning Li** ORCID Icon, Jiahui Huang**, Takahiro Arakawa**,†, Kentaro Ishii**, and Ryuichi Yashima**

*College of Information Engineering, Zhejiang University of Technology
No.18 Chaowang Road, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 310014, China

**Sustainable Engineering, Tokyo University of Technology
1404-1 Katakuramachi, Hachioji, Tokyo 192-0982, Japan

Corresponding author

Received:
January 30, 2025
Accepted:
March 6, 2025
Published:
May 20, 2025
Keywords:
remaining useful life, machine tool, graph convolutional network, degradation modeling, individual differences
Abstract

This study proposes a graph convolutional network (GCN)-based data–model interactive remaining useful life (RUL) prediction method for tools. First, a composite health indicator (CHI) is built by aggregating information from neighboring nodes through the GCN. Second, a stochastic degradation model is established to capture the time-varying evolutionary trend. Specifically, the drift coefficient is treated as a random variable to represent its variability among different individuals of the same type of tool, and the model parameters are estimated using intermediate evolutionary process data. Then, a data–model interactive mechanism is proposed by forming closed-loop optimization between the CHI construction and the stochastic degradation model to enhance the RUL prediction accuracy. Finally, experiments are conducted on the PHM2010 dataset to verify the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed method.

RUL prediction based on data-model interactive

RUL prediction based on data-model interactive

Cite this article as:
B. Zhang, N. Li, J. Huang, T. Arakawa, K. Ishii, and R. Yashima, “Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Tools Based on Monitoring Data and Stochastic Degradation Model,” J. Adv. Comput. Intell. Intell. Inform., Vol.29 No.3, pp. 668-676, 2025.
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Last updated on May. 19, 2025