Paper:
Detecting Flood Hotspots Associated with Sediment Dynamics in Meandering Rivers Using Basin-Scale Rainfall and Sediment Runoff Modeling
Glaiza J. Visitacion*1
, Menglu Qin*2,
, Dhoz E. Arizobal*3
, Rubenito M. Lampayan*3
, Joan Cecilia C. Casila*3
, Patricia Ann J. Sanchez*3
, Roger A. Luyun, Jr.*3, and Miho Ohara*4
*1Central Bicol State University of Agriculture
San Jose, Pili, Camarines Sur 4418, Philippines
*2International Centre for Water Hazard and Risk Management (ICHARM), Public Works Research Institute
Tsukuba, Japan
Corresponding author
*3University of the Philippines Los Baños, College
Laguna, Philippines
*4Center for Integrated Disaster Information Research, Interfaculty Initiative in Information Studies, Institute of Industrial Science, The University of Tokyo
Tokyo, Japan
Understanding hydro-sediment dynamics is critical to developing effective flood mitigation strategies in river basins with high sediment loads. This study aimed to assess the rainfall-runoff and sediment transport processes in the Santa Maria Watershed, Laguna, to identify flood hotspots. We employed the Rainfall–Sediment Runoff (RSR) model, which integrates a distributed rainfall–runoff model with a unit channel-based sediment transport model. The model was configured using watershed geomorphological data and validated using field-observed water levels and suspended sediment concentrations from September to December 2024. The simulation identified pronounced bed aggradation at two major meander bends in the plain area, highlighting these as potential high-risk sections for future flooding along the main river. Furthermore, the model identified the primary flood hotspots in agricultural lowlands away from the main river, caused by overflow from abandoned channels and a major tributary confluence. These results demonstrate that the RSR model is an effective tool for identifying flood hotspots linked to both sediment-driven geomorphological changes and complex topographic features. This is crucial for devising targeted mitigation strategies for vulnerable communities.
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