JDR Vol.13 No.6 pp. 1072-1081
doi: 10.20965/jdr.2018.p1072


A Statistical Analysis of Japanese Inter-Prefectural Migration After Disasters

Makoto Okumura*,† and Wataru Ito**

*International Research Institute of Disaster Science (IRIDeS), Tohoku University
468-1 Aza-Aoba, Aramaki, Aoba-ku, Sendai, Miyagi 980-8572, Japan

Corresponding author

**School of Enginnering, Tohoku University, Miyagi, Japan

May 6, 2018
October 9, 2018
November 1, 2018
migration, disaster, panel analysis, generalized linear model (GLM)

This study conducts a statistical analysis of the impact of disasters on inter-prefectural migration in Japan over 41 years (1973–2013), and estimates the change in emigration and immigration after disasters of different magnitudes. The result reveals that emigration decreases and immigration increases after a modest-sized disaster, while the opposite is observed following a huge disaster. It also shows a disaster threshold requiring external assistance for recovery and quick decision-making afterwards.

Cite this article as:
Makoto Okumura and Wataru Ito, “A Statistical Analysis of Japanese Inter-Prefectural Migration After Disasters,” J. Disaster Res., Vol.13, No.6, pp. 1072-1081, 2018.
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