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JDR Vol.13 No.6 pp. 1072-1081
(2018)
doi: 10.20965/jdr.2018.p1072

Paper:

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A Statistical Analysis of Japanese Inter-Prefectural Migration After Disasters

Makoto Okumura*,† and Wataru Ito**

*International Research Institute of Disaster Science (IRIDeS), Tohoku University
468-1 Aza-Aoba, Aramaki, Aoba-ku, Sendai, Miyagi 980-8572, Japan

†Corresponding author

**School of Enginnering, Tohoku University, Miyagi, Japan

Received:
May 6, 2018
Accepted:
October 9, 2018
Published:
November 1, 2018
Creative Commons License
Keywords:
migration, disaster, panel analysis, generalized linear model (GLM)
Abstract

This study conducts a statistical analysis of the impact of disasters on inter-prefectural migration in Japan over 41 years (1973–2013), and estimates the change in emigration and immigration after disasters of different magnitudes. The result reveals that emigration decreases and immigration increases after a modest-sized disaster, while the opposite is observed following a huge disaster. It also shows a disaster threshold requiring external assistance for recovery and quick decision-making afterwards.

Cite this article as:
M. Okumura and W. Ito, “A Statistical Analysis of Japanese Inter-Prefectural Migration After Disasters,” J. Disaster Res., Vol.13 No.6, pp. 1072-1081, 2018.
Data files:
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