Top > JDR > Impact Analysis of Various Earthquake Scenarios Using a Simpli ...

single-dr.php

JDR Vol.11 No.5 pp. 935-946
(2016)
doi: 10.20965/jdr.2016.p0935

Paper:

Views over last 60 days: 833

Impact Analysis of Various Earthquake Scenarios Using a Simplified Web Application for Earthquake Damage Estimation

Shingo Suzuki†

National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience
3-1 Tennnodai, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-0006, Japan

†Corresponding author,

Received:
April 4, 2016
Accepted:
September 7, 2016
Online released:
October 3, 2016
Published:
October 1, 2016
Creative Commons License
Keywords:
web GIS service, web application, tokyo metropolitan earthquake, earthquake scenario, disaster assessment
Abstract
An earthquake in metropolitan Tokyo would be a national crisis in terms of the enormous number of affected population and properties and various types of complicated damages and impact in areas where there is a concentration of capital, social, and economic functions. Moreover, the process of being affected by the disaster is so complicated that it has not been fully understood and the various possibilities of earthquake occurrence scenarios have not been fully analyzed. In addition, those understandings and analyses have not been fully utilized for disaster mitigation or preparedness.
Intended to estimate complicated phenomena, this study discusses a method to analyze various phenomena by breaking down a method for estimation component pieces, making each piece work as a web service, and getting them to cooperate with one another as necessary. We also develop an earthquake-disaster estimation web application that can analyze seismic intensity, exposed population, lifelines, business establishments, goods supply and demand, and so on.
Using an exposed population, the period of business disruption at business establishments, the supply and demand balance of necessities, and an amount of exposure of administrative functions as impact indices, we use our method to analyze the change in impact indices at many epicenters exhaustively plotted in the metropolitan Tokyo area. As a result, the scenario of an earthquake with a great impact is quantified in light of the earthquake susceptibility of the ground, distribution of population, business establishments, administrative functions, and so on.
Cite this article as:
S. Suzuki, “Impact Analysis of Various Earthquake Scenarios Using a Simplified Web Application for Earthquake Damage Estimation,” J. Disaster Res., Vol.11 No.5, pp. 935-946, 2016.
Data files:
References
  1. [1] Cabinet office of Japan (Section for Disaster Management), “Result of Direct Damage Estimation,” 13th Committee for Technical Investigation on countermeasures of Tokyo Metropolitan Earthquake, 2004 (in Japanese).
  2. [2] Cabinet office of Japan (Section for Disaster Management), “Result of Damage Estimation,” 15th Committee for Technical Investigation on countermeasures of Tokyo Metropolitan Earthquake, 2005 (in Japanese).
  3. [3] Working Group for Examination of countermeasure against Tokyo Metropolitan Earthquake, Central Disaster Management Council, “Damage Estimation and Countermeasure of Tokyo Metropolitan Earthquake (Final Report),” 2013 (in Japanese).
  4. [4] S. Suzuki and H. Hayaashi, “Development of Simple Earthquake Disaster Estimation Web Application Combining Web GIS Services,” J. of Social Safety Science, Vol.27, pp. 215-224, 2015 (in Japanese).
  5. [5] ESRI, “a quick tour of geoprocessing tool references” (in Japanese), http://desktop.arcgis.com/ja/desktop/latest/main/tools/a-quick-tour-of-geoprocessing-tool-references.htm [accessed Aug. 31, 2016]
  6. [6] ESRI, “ArcGIS for Server,” http://server.arcgis.com/ja/ [accessed Aug. 31, 2016]
  7. [7] ESRI, “ArcGIS API for Javascript,” https://developers.arcgis.com/javascript/ [accessed Aug. 31, 2016]
  8. [8] National Research Institute of Fire and Disaster, “Earthquake Damage Estimation System Users Guide,” (in Japanese).
  9. [9] National Research Institiute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience, “J-SHIS” (in Japanese), http://www.j-shis.bosai.go.jp/ [accessed Aug. 31, 2016]
  10. [10] The Headquaters for Earthquake Research Promotion, “Evaluation of Active Faults to date” (in Japanese), http://www.jishin.go.jp/evaluation/long_term_evaluation/major_active_fault/#01 [accessed Aug. 31, 2016]
  11. [11] Central Disaster Management Council, “Second Report from Committee for research on Nankai Trough Megathrust Earthquake model, Surface seismic intensity distriburion” (in Japanese), http://www.bousai.go.jp/jishin/nankai/model/index.html [accessed Aug. 31, 2016]
  12. [12] Central Disaster Manamgement Council, “Report from the committee for technical investigation on Tokyo Metropolitan Earthquake,” p. 92, 2005 (in Japanese).
  13. [13] H. Tong, F. Yamazaki, H. Sasaki, and S. Matsumoto, “A relationship between seismic ground motion severity and house damage ratio,” the Japan Earthquake Engineering Symposium, Vol.9, pp. 2299-2304, 1995 (in Japanese)
  14. [14] H. Mizuno and S. Horiuchi, “Study on the prediction about the numbers of the outbreak of fires caused by the earthquakes,” Trans. of the Architectural Institute of Japan, Vol.250, pp. 81-90, 1976.
  15. [15] K. Tamura et al., “Effect of the occurrence time of an earthquake on the incidence of human casualty,” the Japan Earthquake Engineering Symposium, Vol.9, pp. 2335-2340, 1995 (in Japanese).
  16. [16] S. Nagata, “Simple Evaluation Method for Business Impact due to Lifeline Interruption in case of Earthquake,” Proc. of 2nd Symposium on Lifeline Mitigation considering Interaction between Lifelines, 2008 (in Japanese).
  17. [17] G. Shoji et al., “Damage Assessment on Road Structures due to Ground Excitation in the 2011 Off The Pacific Coast of Tohoku Earthquake,” J. of JSCE A1, Vol.68, No.4, pp. I_1186-I_1193, 2012 (in Japanese).
  18. [18] Mineral Water Association of Japan, “2011 domestic production and imported amount.”
  19. [19] Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, “2008 Basic Survey of Japanese Business Structure and Activities.”
  20. [20] Statistics Bureau, “2013 household expenditure survey.”

Creative Commons License  This article is published under a Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internationa License.

*This site is desgined based on HTML5 and CSS3 for modern browsers, e.g. Chrome, Firefox, Safari, Edge, Opera.

Last updated on Apr. 22, 2024