single-dr.php

JDR Vol.15 No.6 pp. 726-734
(2020)
doi: 10.20965/jdr.2020.p0726

Paper:

What Factors Contributed to the Torrential Rainfall of Hurricane Harvey over Texas?

Satoshi Iizuka and Naoki Sakai

National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience (NIED)
3-1 Tennodai, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-0006, Japan

Corresponding author

Received:
January 30, 2020
Accepted:
June 2, 2020
Published:
October 1, 2020
Keywords:
Hurricane Harvey, rainfall, flood, Texas
Abstract

In August 2017, Hurricane Harvey brought an unprecedented amount of rainfall and catastrophic flooding to the Houston metropolitan area, as it stalled near the coast of Texas for several days after weakening to a tropical storm intensity. The present study examines the relationship between tropical cyclone rainfall totals over Texas and the track, residence time, rainfall intensity, and rainfall area coverage of past tropical cyclones that approached Texas after 1979. The most significant factor affecting rainfall totals over Texas is whether a tropical cyclone makes landfall on the central coast of Texas and travel inland. Another significant factor is the length of time a tropical cyclone resides near Texas. Rainfall intensity also contributes in part to rainfall totals over Texas, whereas contribution of rainfall area coverage is not significant. The track of a tropical cyclone traveling near Texas is controlled by the steering winds over Texas, while its residence time near Texas is related partly to the meandering of the subtropical jets. Rainfall rate depends on the intensity of tropical cyclone. No significant relationship between rainfall intensity and environmental moisture in the lower atmosphere is found in the present analysis. Furthermore, the extreme rainfall totals over Texas induced by Harvey can be attributed to the combined effect of extreme long-term stalling of Harvey near the central coast of Texas and the higher rainfall rate.

Cite this article as:
S. Iizuka and N. Sakai, “What Factors Contributed to the Torrential Rainfall of Hurricane Harvey over Texas?,” J. Disaster Res., Vol.15 No.6, pp. 726-734, 2020.
Data files:
References
  1. [1] E. S. Blake and D. A. Zelinsky, “Hurricane Harvey,” National Hurricane Center Tropical Cyclone Report, AL092017, 2018.
  2. [2] M. D. Risser and M. F. Wehner, “Attributable Human-Induced Changes in the Likelihood and Magnitude of the Observed Extreme Precipitation during Hurricane Harvey,” Geophysical Research Letters, Vol.44, Issue 24, pp. 12457-12464, 2017.
  3. [3] S.-Y. S. Wang, L. Zhao, J.-H. Yoon, P. Klotzbach, and R. R. Gillies, “Quantitative attribution of climate effects on Hurricane Harvey’s extreme rainfall in Texas,” Environmental Research Letters, Vol.13, No.5, 054014, 2018.
  4. [4] S.-Y. S. Wang, L. Zhao, and R. R. Gillies, “Synoptic and quantitative attributions of the extreme precipitation leading to the August 2016 Louisiana flood,” Geophysical Research Letters, Vol.43, Issue 22, pp. 11805-11814, 2016.
  5. [5] C. E. Konrad II, M. F. Meaux, and D. A. Meaux, “Relationship between tropical cyclone attributes and precipitation totals: considerations of scale,” Int. J. of Climatology, Vol.22, Issue 2, pp. 237-247, 2002.
  6. [6] C. J. Matyas, “Associations between the size of hurricane rain fields at landfall and their surrounding environments,” Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, Vol.106, Issue 3, pp. 135-148, 2010.
  7. [7] F. Mesinger, G. DiMego, E. Kalnay, K. Mitchell, P. C. Shafran, W. Ebisuzaki, D. Jović, J. Woollen, E. Rogers, E. H. Berbery, M. B. Ek, Y. Fan, R. Grumbine, W. Higgins, H. Li, Y. Lin, G. Manikin, D. Parrish, and W. Shi, “North American Regional Reanalysis,” Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol.87, Issue 3, pp. 343-360, 2006.
  8. [8] M. Chen, W. Shi, P. Xie, V. B. S. Silva, V. E. Kousky, R. W. Higgins, and J. E. Janowiak, “Assessing objective techniques for gauge-based analyses of global daily precipitation,” J. of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol.113, Issue D4, D04110, 2008.
  9. [9] C. J. McAdie, C. W. Landsea, C. J. Neumann, J. E. David, E. S. Blake, and G. R. Hammer, “Historical Climatology Series 6-2: Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean, 1851–2006 (with 2007 and 2008 track maps included),” 238pp., National Climate Data Center, 2009.
  10. [10] H. Jiang, J. B. Halverson, and E. J. Zipser, “Influence of environmental moisture on TRMM-derived tropical cyclone precipitation over land and ocean,” Geophysical Research Letters, Vol.35, Issue 17, L17806, 2008.
  11. [11] L. Guo, N. P. Klingaman, P. L. Vidale, A. G. Turner, M.-E. Demory, and A. Cobb, “Contribution of Tropical Cyclones to Atmospheric Moisture Transport and Rainfall over East Asia,” J. of Climate, Vol.30, Issue 10, pp. 3853-3865, 2017.
  12. [12] C. E. Konrad II and L. B. Perry, “Relationship between tropical cyclones and heavy rainfall in the Carolina region of the USA,” Int. J. of Climatology, Vol.30, Issue 4, pp. 522-534, 2010.
  13. [13] J. L. Franklin, S. E. Feuer, J. Kaplan, and S. D. Aberson, “Tropical Cyclone Motion and Surrounding Flow Relationships: Searching for Beta Gyres in Omega Dropwindsonde Datasets,” Monthly Weather Review, Vol.124, Issue 1, pp. 64-84, 1996.
  14. [14] Y. Kurihara, M. A. Bender, R. E. Tuleya, and R. J. Ross, “Improvements in the GFDL Hurricane Prediction System,” Monthly Weather Review, Vol.123, Issue 9, pp. 2791-2801, 1995.
  15. [15] H. J. Kwon, S.-H. Won, M.-H. Ahn, A.-S. Suh, and H.-S. Chung, “GFDL-Type Typhoon Initialization in MM5,” Monthly Weather Review, Vol.130, Issue 12, pp. 2966-2974, 2002.
  16. [16] K. E. Trenberth, L. Cheng, P. Jacobs, Y. Zhang, and J. Fasullo, “Hurricane Harvey Links to Ocean Heat Content and Climate Change Adaptation,” Earth’s Future, Vol.6, Issue 5, pp. 730-744, 2018.
  17. [17] J. P. Kossin, “A global slowdown of tropical-cyclone translation speed,” Nature, Vol.558, Issue 7708, pp. 104-107, 2018.
  18. [18] T. M. Hall and J. P. Kossin, “Hurricane stalling along the North American coast and implications for rainfall,” NPJ Climate and Atmospheric Science, Vol.2, Article No.17, 2019.
  19. [19] D. Coumou, G. Di Capua, S. Vavrus, L. Wang, and S. Wang, “The influence of Arctic amplification on mid-latitude summer circulation,” Nature Communications, Vol.9, Article No.2959, 2018.
  20. [20] Y. Lin, M. Zhao, and M. Zhang, “Tropical cyclone rainfall area controlled by relative sea surface temperature,” Nature Communications, Vol.6, Article No.6591, 2015.
  21. [21] K. A. Hill and G. M. Lackmann, “Influence of Environmental Humidity on Tropical Cyclone Size,” Monthly Weather Review, Vol.137, Issue 10, pp. 3294-3315, 2009.
  22. [22] M. Liu, G. A. Vecchi, J. A. Smith, and T. R. Knutson, “Causes of large projected increases in hurricane precipitation rates with global warming,” NPJ Climate and Atmospheric Science, Vol.2, Article No.38, 2019.
  23. [23] S. Gao, S. Zhai, B. Chen, and T. Li, “Water Budget and Intensity Change of Tropical Cyclones over the Western North Pacific,” Monthly Weather Review, Vol.145, Issue 8, pp. 3009-3023, 2017.
  24. [24] W. Xu, H. Jiang, and X. Kang, “Rainfall asymmetries of tropical cyclones prior to, during, and after making landfall in South China and Southeast United States,” Atmospheric Research, Vol.139, pp. 18-26, 2014.
  25. [25] K. R. Knupp, J. Walters, and M. Biggerstaff, “Doppler Profiler and Radar Observations of Boundary Layer Variability during the Landfall of Tropical Storm Gabrielle,” J. of the Atmospheric Sciences, Vol.63, Issue 1, pp. 234-251, 2006.
  26. [26] K. S. Kimball, “Structure and Evolution of Rainfall in Numerically Simulated Landfalling Hurricanes,” Monthly Weather Review, Vol.136, Issue 10, pp. 3822-3847, 2008.
  27. [27] M.-J. Yang, D.-L. Zhang, X.-D. Tang, and Y. Zhang, “A modeling study of Typhoon Nari (2001) at landfall: 2. Structural changes and terrain-induced asymmetries,” J. of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol.116, Issue D9, D09112, 2011.

*This site is desgined based on HTML5 and CSS3 for modern browsers, e.g. Chrome, Firefox, Safari, Edge, Opera.

Last updated on Apr. 22, 2024