Investigation of Traffic and Evacuation Aspects at Kumamoto Earthquake and the Future Issues

Yosuke Kawasaki; Masao Kuwahara; Yusuke Hara; Takuma Mitani; Atsushi Takenouchi; Takamasa Iryo; Junji Urata

doi:10.20965/jdr.2017.p0272

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JDR Vol.12 No.2 pp. 272-286

(2017)

doi: 10.20965/jdr.2017.p0272

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Investigation of Traffic and Evacuation Aspects at Kumamoto Earthquake and the Future Issues

Yosuke Kawasaki^,†, Masao Kuwahara^, Yusuke Hara^, Takuma Mitani^, Atsushi Takenouchi^*, Takamasa Iryo^, and Junji Urata^

^*Graduate School of Information Sciences, Tohoku University
6-6-06 Aramaki aza aoba, Aoba-ku, Sendai, Miyagi 980-8579, Japan

^†Corresponding author

^**Graduate School of Engineering, Kobe University, Kobe, Japan

Received:

October 3, 2016

Accepted:

February 28, 2017

Online released:

March 16, 2017

Published:

March 20, 2017

Keywords:

Kumamoto earthquake, probe data, urban congestion, evacuation demand

Abstract

This study reports the results of the analysis of probe data, collected in the periods immediately before and after the foreshock in Kumamoto on April 14, 2016. Data were gathered under actual urban traffic conditions, and the traffic activity evaluated. The study also identifies any issues to be addressed in future, based on this analysis. The analytical results quantitatively show that movement from Fukuoka to central Kumamoto was impacted by closure of the Kyushu Expressway; it also shows that travel times during the day along alternative paths significantly increased, whilst congestion on highways decreased. The results show that locations such as shelters, supermarkets, and public baths were the beginning and end points of travel, thereby causing deviations from normal congestion patterns.

Cite this article as:

Y. Kawasaki, M. Kuwahara, Y. Hara, T. Mitani, A. Takenouchi, T. Iryo, and J. Urata, “Investigation of Traffic and Evacuation Aspects at Kumamoto Earthquake and the Future Issues,” J. Disaster Res., Vol.12 No.2, pp. 272-286, 2017.

Data files:

References

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This article is published under a Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internationa License.

[1] [1] http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/en/2016_Kumamoto_Earthquake/2016_Kumamoto_Earthquake.html [accessed Sep. 21, 2016]

[2] [2] S. Zhu, D. Levinson, H. X. Liu, and K. Harder, “The traffic and behavioral effects of the I-35W Mississippi River bridge collapse,” Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Vol.44, No.10, pp. 771-784, 2010.

[3] [3] L. Bengtsson, X. Lu, A. Thorson, R. Garfield, and J. von Schreeb, “Improved response to disasters and outbreaks by tracking population movements with mobile phone network data: a post-earthquake geospatial study in Haiti,” PLoS Med., Vol.8, No.8, p. e1001083, 2011.

[4] [4] X. Lu, L. Bengtsson, and P. Holme, “Predictability of population displacement after the 2010 Haiti earthquake,” Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, Vol.109, No.29, pp. 11576-11581, 2012.

[5] [5] M. Kuwahara, “How people moved just after Great East Japan Earthquake,” OPTIMUM2013 – International Symposium on Recent Advances of Transport Modeling, Brisbane, Australia, 2013.

[6] [6] Y. Hara and M. Kuwahara, “Traffic monitoring immediately after a major natural disaster as revealed by probe data – A case in Ishinomaki after the Great East Japan Earthquake,” Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Vol.75, pp. 1-15, 2015.

[7] [7] H. Hanabusa, K. Koide, T. Komiya, R. Horiguchi, and M. Kuwahara, “A traffic simulation model of pedestrian and vehicle for evacuation under natural disaster,” 22nd ITS World Congress, 2015.

[8] [8] M. Kuawahara, Y. Hara, and T. Ohata, “Monitoring traffic congestion using probe data at Great East Japan Earthquake in 2011 and evaluation of efficient evacuation schemes,” 6^th International Symposium on Transportation Network Reliability (INSTR2015), 2015.

[9] [9] K. Nagao, T. Ohata, Y. Kakimoto, H. Hanabusa, Y. Futagami, K. Etoh, and M. Kuwahara, “Evacuation plan assessment considering vehicular behavior analysis in large-scale earthquake disaster,” Journal of JSCE (D3), Vol.71, No.5, pp. I53-I68, 2015 (in Japanese).

[10] [10] R. P. Otsuka, D. B. Work, and J. Song, “Estimating postdisaster traffic conditions using real-time data streams,” Structure and Infrastructure Engineering (in press).

[11] [11] Y. Kawasaki, Y. Hara, T. Mitani, and M. Kuwahara, “Real-time simulation of dynamic traffic flow with traffic data assimilation approach,” Journal of Disaster Research, Vol.11, No.2, pp. 246-254, 2016.

[12] [12] http://www.data.jma.go.jp/svd/eqdb/data/shindo/index.php [accessed Sep. 21, 2016]

[13] [13] http://www.gsi.go.jp/kibanjoho/kibanjoho40042.html [accessed Feb. 10, 2017]

Investigation of Traffic and Evacuation Aspects at Kumamoto Earthquake and the Future Issues

Yosuke Kawasaki*,†, Masao Kuwahara*, Yusuke Hara*, Takuma Mitani*, Atsushi Takenouchi*, Takamasa Iryo**, and Junji Urata**

Yosuke Kawasaki^,†, Masao Kuwahara^, Yusuke Hara^, Takuma Mitani^, Atsushi Takenouchi^*, Takamasa Iryo^, and Junji Urata^