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JACIII Vol.30 No.5 pp. 1515-1525
(2026)

Research Paper:

Data-Driven Portfolio Optimization Using a Predict-Then-Optimize Framework

Yi Wang ORCID Icon and Takashi Hasuike ORCID Icon

Graduate School of Science and Engineering, Waseda University
3-4-1 Okubo, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 169-8555, Japan

Corresponding author

Received:
December 15, 2025
Accepted:
April 23, 2026
Published:
September 20, 2026
Keywords:
portfolio optimization, deep learning, predict then optimize
Abstract

Effective portfolio diversification remains a central challenge in quantitative asset management. In this study, we propose a data-driven framework based on the predict-then-optimize (PO) paradigm, which combines return forecasting with portfolio allocation in a sequential manner. The forecasting module employs DLinear, a lightweight deep learning model, to capture temporal patterns in historical asset returns. Based on the predicted returns, a portfolio allocation strategy is constructed by optimizing the Sharpe ratio, allowing the model to generate adaptive portfolio weights under changing market conditions. This PO-based framework provides a practical way to connect predictive modeling with downstream decision-making. Empirical results across three asset universes demonstrate that the proposed approach achieves competitive performance under different settings, indicating its potential applicability in real-world portfolio management.

The neural network in allocation step

The neural network in allocation step

Cite this article as:
Y. Wang and T. Hasuike, “Data-Driven Portfolio Optimization Using a Predict-Then-Optimize Framework,” J. Adv. Comput. Intell. Intell. Inform., Vol.30 No.5, pp. 1515-1525, 2026.
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Last updated on Sep. 19, 2026